31 Aug · 22:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VK
🇺🇦Volodymyr Korobko
ELO 1485
FormWLWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Slozka
MS
🇺🇦Mykola Slozka
ELO 1515
FormWLWWL
47%
53%
🌟Korobko stays under total as underdog 62% (80)
Fair odds · Slozka
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+30
H2H16-24
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.