1 Sept · 00:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MP
🇺🇦Mykhailo Potapov
ELO 1543
FormLLLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Potapov
VD
🇺🇦Volodymyr Dobrovolskyi
ELO 1522
FormWLLWL
52%
48%
🌟Dobrovolskyi stays under total as underdog 66% (140)
Fair odds · Potapov
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+21
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.