1 Sept · 08:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SR
🇺🇦Serhii Rak
ELO 1626
FormLLWWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Rak
IR
🇺🇦Ivan Romaniak
ELO 1538
FormLLWLW
59%
41%
Fair odds · Rak
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~72 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
19%
3-0
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+88
H2H55-22
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+88)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (55-22)