1 Sept · 07:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MM
🇺🇦Michal Makara
ELO 1566
FormWWWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Heinzl
LH
🇺🇦Lukas Heinzl
ELO 1586
FormWLLWL
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Makara🌟Makara covers set handicap as underdog 70% (211)
Fair odds · Heinzl
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~79 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+20
H2H19-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.