1 Sept · 09:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OL
🇺🇦Oleksandr Lyman
ELO 1353
FormLLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Lyman
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Miroshnychenko
ELO 1346
FormWLLLL
51%
49%
🌟Lyman rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (26)
Fair odds · Lyman
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+7
H2H52-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.