1 Sept · 06:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SR
🇺🇦Serhii Rak
ELO 1626
FormLLWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Rak
DS
🇺🇦Denys Shcherbak
ELO 1564
FormWWLLL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Rak
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~73 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+62
H2H48-44
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+62)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (48-44)