1 Sept · 08:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MC
🇺🇦Miroslav Cervenka
ELO 1316
FormLLLLW
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Cmil
MC
🇺🇦Marcel Cmil
ELO 1486
FormWWLWW
33%
67%
🌟Cmil rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (101)
Fair odds · Cmil
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~74 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
19%
3-2
12%
3-1
12%
Elo Gap+170
H2H11-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+170)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-9)