1 Sept · 07:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VS
🇺🇦Vladyslav Stukalov
ELO 1382
FormWWLLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Semenets
SS
🇺🇦Serhii Semenets
ELO 1458
FormWLWLW
42%
58%
🔥 Underdog lean · Stukalov
Fair odds · Semenets
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+76
H2H30-25
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+76)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (30-25)