1 Sept · 07:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MK
🇺🇦Martin Kocvara
ELO 1607
FormWLWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Kocvara
VB
🇺🇦Volodymyr Burylov
ELO 1583
FormLWLWW
53%
47%
🌟Kocvara stays under total as favourite 65% (37)
Fair odds · Kocvara
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+24
H2H3-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.