1 Sept · 09:50 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AD
🇺🇦Andrii Derevianko
ELO 1596
FormWWLWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Derevianko
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Strutinskiy
ELO 1595
FormWWWWW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Derevianko
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+1
H2H47-58
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.