1 Sept · 07:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OM
🇺🇦Oleh Miklukha
ELO 1367
FormWLLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Khavanskyi
DK
🇺🇦Denys Khavanskyi
ELO 1400
FormWWWWL
46%
54%
🌟Khavanskyi stays under total as favourite 80% (15)
Fair odds · Khavanskyi
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+33
H2H4-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.