1 Sept · 07:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
YZ
🇺🇦Yurii Zvolynskyi
ELO 1470
FormLWWLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Zvolynskyi
OB
🇺🇦Oleksandr Badanin
ELO 1414
FormWLWWW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Zvolynskyi
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+56
H2H17-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+56)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-3)