1 Sept · 09:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MK
🇺🇦Martin Kocvara
ELO 1607
FormWLWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kocvara
MM
🇺🇦Michal Makara
ELO 1566
FormWWWLL
54%
46%
🌟Makara covers set handicap as underdog 70% (211)
Fair odds · Kocvara
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+41
H2H8-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.