1 Sept · 09:45 MESZLow · Coin Flip
LH
🇺🇦Lukas Heinzl
ELO 1586
FormWLLWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Heinzl
VB
🇺🇦Volodymyr Burylov
ELO 1583
FormLWLWW
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Burylov🌟Burylov covers set handicap as underdog 64% (73)
Fair odds · Heinzl
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+3
H2H22-19
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.