1 Sept · 09:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MC
🇺🇦Miroslav Cervenka
ELO 1316
FormLLLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Skyba
AS
🇺🇦Antonin Skyba
ELO 1342
FormLLLWL
47%
53%
🌟Skyba stays under total as favourite 68% (22)
Fair odds · Skyba
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+26
H2H10-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.