1 Sept · 10:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SH
🇺🇦Serhii Honcharenko
ELO 1486
FormLWWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Honcharenko
YZ
🇺🇦Yurii Zvolynskyi
ELO 1470
FormLWWLL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Honcharenko
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 35% · 2.82· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+16
H2H20-42
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.