1 Sept · 07:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MC
🇺🇦Miroslav Cervenka
ELO 1316
FormLLLLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Sabuka
DS
🇺🇦David Sabuka
ELO 1393
FormWLLWL
42%
58%
🌟Sabuka rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (70)
Fair odds · Sabuka
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+77
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+77)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)