1 Sept · 11:15 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VG
🇺🇦Vojtech Grubr
ELO 1515
FormLWWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Liska
TL
🇺🇦Tomas Liska
ELO 1519
FormWWLWW
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Liska🌟Liska rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (75)
Fair odds · Liska
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+4
H2H19-21
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.