1 Sept · 12:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MM
🇺🇦Maksym Mrykh
ELO 1579
FormWWWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Derevianko
AD
🇺🇦Andrii Derevianko
ELO 1596
FormWWLWL
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Mrykh🌟Mrykh covers set handicap as underdog 65% (60)
Fair odds · Derevianko
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+17
H2H44-31
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.