1 Sept · 12:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VG
🇺🇦Vojtech Grubr
ELO 1515
FormLWWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Rulc
LR
🇺🇦Lukas Rulc
ELO 1531
FormLWLLL
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Grubr🌟Rulc rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (120)
Fair odds · Rulc
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~79 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+16
H2H6-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.