1 Sept · 12:40 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AK
🇺🇦Andrii Kotiash
ELO 1521
FormLLWLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Sopivnyk
RS
🇺🇦Ruslan Sopivnyk
ELO 1525
FormLLWLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Sopivnyk
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 36% · 2.81· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+4
H2H4-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.