1 Sept · 11:20 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VS
🇺🇦Volodymyr Savoliuk
ELO 1606
FormLLWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Savoliuk
AN
🇺🇦Anatolii Nazarov
ELO 1595
FormWWLLW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Savoliuk
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+11
H2H31-20
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.