1 Sept · 14:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MM
🇺🇦Marian Melisek
ELO 1456
FormLWLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Vorel
MV
🇺🇦Martin Vorel
ELO 1469
FormWWLWL
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Melisek🌟Vorel rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (116)
Fair odds · Vorel
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+13
H2H15-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.