1 Sept · 13:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
YO
🇺🇦Yehor Opryshchenko
ELO 1546
FormLWWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Mrykh
MM
🇺🇦Maksym Mrykh
ELO 1579
FormWWWWW
47%
53%
🔥 Underdog lean · Opryshchenko🌟Mrykh rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (77)
Fair odds · Mrykh
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+33
H2H4-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.