1 Sept · 12:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JJ
🇺🇦Jakub Dufek Jnr
ELO 1458
FormLWLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Jnr
MM
🇺🇦Marian Melisek
ELO 1456
FormLWLLL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Melisek🌟Melisek covers set handicap as underdog 66% (83)
Fair odds · Jnr
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H4-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.