1 Sept · 14:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VM
🇺🇦Vitalii S Marushchak
ELO 1617
FormLWWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Marushchak
AL
🇺🇦Anatolii Lievshin
ELO 1605
FormLLLLW
51%
49%
🌟Lievshin covers set handicap as underdog 67% (88)
Fair odds · Marushchak
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+12
H2H6-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.