02 Sep · 19:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
RM
🇺🇦Roman Merkl
ELO 1556
3-0Final setsMerkl won
PM
🇺🇦Petr Maly
ELO 1526
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Maly at 53%. The actual result was Roman Merkl 3-0 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Maly favoured — closing 1.83
Total 76.5
56 points played
Set handicap
Maly −1.5 sets
Total sets 3.5
closing 2.98
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Roman Merkl is favoured to win, below means Petr Maly.
▲ Roman Merklpre 43% → final 100%
Petr Maly ▼
Biggest swing 62 ptsMerkl recovered from 38%56 points · 3 games