2 Sept · 07:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
NP
🇺🇦Nikita Priadko
ELO 1491
FormLWLWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Priadko
YZ
🇺🇦Yurii Zvolynskyi
ELO 1490
FormLWWWW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Priadko
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+1
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.