4 Sept · 06:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VV
🇺🇦Vasily Verbyany
ELO 1704
FormLWWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Zeniuk
DZ
🇺🇦Dmytro Zeniuk
ELO 1742
FormWLWWW
46%
54%
🌟Verbyany covers set handicap as underdog 63% (123)
Fair odds · Zeniuk
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+38
H2H30-47
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.