4 Sept · 08:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VK
🇺🇦Valentyn Kurliuk
ELO 1443
FormLLWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Honcharenko
SH
🇺🇦Serhii Honcharenko
ELO 1509
FormWLWWW
43%
57%
🌟Kurliuk stays under total as underdog 62% (32)
Fair odds · Honcharenko
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+66
H2H13-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+66)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)