4 Sept · 08:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
IH
🇺🇦Iurii Hrekh
ELO 1583
FormWWLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Hrekh
AR
🇺🇦Andrii Romanenko
ELO 1551
FormLLWWW
53%
47%
🌟Hrekh stays under total as favourite 63% (178)
Fair odds · Hrekh
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+32
H2H14-17
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.