4 Sept · 08:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AM
🇺🇦Anton Molochko
ELO 1787
FormLWLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Molochko
DZ
🇺🇦Dmytro Zeniuk
ELO 1742
FormWLWWW
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Zeniuk🌟Zeniuk covers set handicap as underdog 66% (47)
Fair odds · Molochko
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+45
H2H48-22
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+45)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (48-22)