4 Sept · 08:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MS
🇺🇦Michal Snizek
ELO 1498
FormLWWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Snizek
JP
🇺🇦Jaroslav Puk
ELO 1446
FormWLLLL
55%
45%
🌟Puk covers set handicap as underdog 65% (66)
Fair odds · Snizek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 35% · 2.82· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~73 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+52
H2H0-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+52)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)