4 Sept · 09:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OB
🇺🇦Oleksandr Badanin
ELO 1408
FormWWLLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Zvolynskyi
YZ
🇺🇦Yurii Zvolynskyi
ELO 1489
FormLWWWW
41%
59%
Fair odds · Zvolynskyi
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 78% · 1.28· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~74 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+81
H2H18-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+81)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-3)