4 Sept · 07:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DS
🇺🇦Dmytro Shchegelskyi
ELO 1536
FormWLLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Shchegelskyi
YV
🇺🇦Yaroslav Vorsuliak
ELO 1526
FormLWLWW
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vorsuliak🌟Shchegelskyi rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (84)
Fair odds · Shchegelskyi
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+10
H2H35-33
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.