4 Sept · 08:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RS
🇺🇦Ruslan Sopivnyk
ELO 1536
FormLWWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Sopivnyk
OK
🇺🇦Oleh Karpenko
ELO 1527
FormLLLLL
51%
49%
🌟Karpenko covers set handicap as underdog 65% (110)
Fair odds · Sopivnyk
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~79 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+9
H2H2-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.