4 Sept · 07:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
YO
🇺🇦Yehor Opryshchenko
ELO 1510
FormLLLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Strutinskiy
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Strutinskiy
ELO 1577
FormWWLLW
43%
57%
🔥 Underdog lean · Opryshchenko🌟Strutinskiy rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (127)
Fair odds · Strutinskiy
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+67
H2H3-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+67)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)