4 Sept · 08:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MV
🇺🇦Martin Vorel
ELO 1447
FormLLLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Vorel
JP
🇺🇦Jaroslav Puk
ELO 1446
FormWLLLL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Puk🌟Vorel rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (127)
Fair odds · Vorel
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+1
H2H14-22
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.