4 Sept · 07:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MS
🇺🇦Michal Snizek
ELO 1498
FormLWWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Snizek
PM
🇺🇦Pavel Moulis
ELO 1436
FormWLLLW
57%
43%
🌟Moulis covers set handicap as underdog 67% (27)
Fair odds · Snizek
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~71 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+62
H2H6-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+62)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-3)