4 Sept · 08:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
YS
🇺🇦Yevhen Skorobahatyi
ELO 1520
FormWWLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Hrytsenko
EH
🇺🇦Evhenii Hrytsenko
ELO 1570
FormWLWWW
45%
55%
🌟Skorobahatyi stays under total as underdog 66% (29)
Fair odds · Hrytsenko
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+50
H2H12-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+50)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-10)