4 Sept · 08:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JS
🇺🇦Jakub Senk
ELO 1570
FormLLWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Senk
TL
🇺🇦Tomas Liska
ELO 1542
FormLWWWW
53%
47%
🔥 Underdog lean · Liska🌟Senk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (66)
Fair odds · Senk
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+28
H2H4-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.