6 Sept · 09:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AL
🇺🇦Anatoliy Lysyi
ELO 1355
FormLLWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Lysyi
VM
🇺🇦Vasyl Matviichuk
ELO 1352
FormLLLLW
50%
50%
⚡ Cover lean · Lysyi🌟Matviichuk stays under total as underdog 73% (82)
Fair odds · Lysyi
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+3
H2H19-20
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.