6 Sept · 08:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DK
🇺🇦Dmytro Kunchurov
ELO 1272
FormWWLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Tkalich
MT
🇺🇦Maksym Tkalich
ELO 1279
FormLLWLL
49%
51%
🌟Tkalich rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (47)
Fair odds · Tkalich
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+7
H2H12-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.