6 Sept · 10:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PH
🇺🇦Pavel Hala
ELO 1586
FormWLLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Hajek
MH
🇺🇦Miroslav Hajek
ELO 1588
FormWLLWW
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Hajek🌟Hala covers set handicap as underdog 66% (73)
Fair odds · Hajek
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~79 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H17-18
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.