6 Sept · 09:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DP
🇺🇦Dmytro Patalakha
ELO 1472
FormWLWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Solomko
SS
🇺🇦Serhii Solomko
ELO 1511
FormLLLWL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Solomko
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+39
H2H7-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.