6 Sept · 11:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OK
🇺🇦Oleh Kuzyshyn
ELO 1533
FormWWLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Sopivnyk
RS
🇺🇦Ruslan Sopivnyk
ELO 1564
FormLWLWW
47%
53%
🌟Kuzyshyn covers set handicap as underdog 71% (59)
Fair odds · Sopivnyk
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 38% · 2.66· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+31
H2H1-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.