6 Sept · 07:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MS
🇺🇦Mykola Slozka
ELO 1538
FormLWWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Sydorchuk
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Sydorchuk
ELO 1544
FormWLLWL
49%
51%
🌟Sydorchuk stays under total as favourite 66% (71)
Fair odds · Sydorchuk
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+6
H2H1-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.