6 Sept · 08:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TG
🇺🇦Taras Gil
ELO 1604
FormWWWWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Gil
RB
🇺🇦Roman Bihun
ELO 1520
FormWWLWW
59%
41%
🌟Bihun stays under total as underdog 72% (18)
Fair odds · Gil
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~73 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+84
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+84)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)