6 Sept · 07:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VV
🇺🇦Valerii Vlasenko
ELO 1415
FormLWLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Napirko
ON
🇺🇦Oleh Napirko
ELO 1461
FormLLLWL
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vlasenko🌟Vlasenko covers set handicap as underdog 68% (244)
Fair odds · Napirko
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+46
H2H72-60
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+46)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (72-60)