6 Sept · 10:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AD
🇺🇦Andrii Droshchynskyi
ELO 1581
FormLWLWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Droshchynskyi
OV
🇺🇦Oleg Varlamov
ELO 1528
FormWLWLL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Droshchynskyi
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+53
H2H8-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+53)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-5)